Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 14:00
11.9948.0%
X3.3328.7%
24.1123.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
WDLWDWLLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Monza
LDWWWLDDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.00
Against
5.20
8.00
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Torino attack

0.90goals per match
Monza conceded1.00
Matchup

Monza attack

1.30goals per match
Torino conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.20
8.00
Match total
7.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.10
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
23.30
Match total
26.50

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches464
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%50.4%+2.4 pp
Draw28.7%30.0%+1.3 pp
Away23.3%19.6%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.460.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.1%
1-113.6%
0-010.8%
2-110.6%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.343.98
Average total9.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=464.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.533.4%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches164
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.2%33.0%–47.9% CI
Draw FT40.2%33.0%–47.9% CI
Away FT19.5%14.2%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.5%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.0%
Away36.0%