Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 11:30
12.4039.8%
X3.3228.8%
23.0531.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LLWWLDWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Juventus
WWLWWLWLLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
5.80N=10
2.50
Against
5.10
9.90
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.70
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.20goals per match
Juventus conceded1.00
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.10goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.10
9.90
Match total
10.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.20
Match total
21.50

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
6.60
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches814
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%40.4%+0.6 pp
Draw28.8%29.2%+0.4 pp
Away31.4%30.3%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.301.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-012.0%
0-19.8%
0-09.1%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.61
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=814.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches278
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.9%24.8%–35.5% CI
Draw FT39.9%34.3%–45.8% CI
Away FT30.2%25.1%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.6%
Away48.6%