Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 19:45
12.3540.7%
X3.3828.3%
23.0831.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cremonese
DLLLLWLLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Spezia
LWWLDDLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.40
Against
6.10
8.90
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Cremonese attack

0.80goals per match
Spezia conceded1.50
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.20goals per match
Cremonese conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.10
8.90
Match total
10.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.00
Match total
5.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
24.40
Match total
26.00

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.90
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches800
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.7%40.4%-0.3 pp
Draw28.3%29.3%+1.0 pp
Away31.0%30.4%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.381.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-19.8%
1-09.8%
0-19.3%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.324.59
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=800.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches250
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.6%26.2%–37.6% CI
Draw FT40.8%34.9%–47.0% CI
Away FT27.6%22.4%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away46.8%