Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 17:00
13.1430.5%
X3.1530.4%
22.4439.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
DWWWWWLWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Inter
LWDWDLLDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
7.60N=10
3.80
Against
2.60
9.10
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
1.80goals per matchInter conceded1.10Matchup
Inter attack
1.80goals per matchRoma conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
7.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
2.60
9.10
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.20
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.00
Match total
22.60
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
19.60N=10
5.10
On target
6.10
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches370
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%29.5%-1.0 pp
Draw30.4%30.5%+0.2 pp
Away39.2%40.0%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS48.4%
Historical average
1.06–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
0-111.6%
1-010.8%
0-010.5%
0-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.48–4.87
Average total9.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=370.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.523.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%16.8%–31.9% CI
Draw FT46.2%37.5%–55.2% CI
Away FT30.3%22.7%–39.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.2%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.7%
Away46.2%