Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 17:00
13.1430.5%
X3.1530.4%
22.4439.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
DWWWWWLWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Inter
LWDWDLLDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
7.60N=10
3.80
Against
2.60
9.10
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.80goals per match
Inter conceded1.10
Matchup

Inter attack

1.80goals per match
Roma conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
7.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
2.60
9.10
Match total
10.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.20
Match total
2.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.00
Match total
22.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
19.60N=10
5.10
On target
6.10
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches370
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%29.5%-1.0 pp
Draw30.4%30.5%+0.2 pp
Away39.2%40.0%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.061.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
0-111.6%
1-010.8%
0-010.5%
0-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.484.87
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=370.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%16.8%–31.9% CI
Draw FT46.2%37.5%–55.2% CI
Away FT30.3%22.7%–39.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.2%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.7%
Away46.2%