Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 14:00
11.9748.7%
X3.4028.2%
24.1723.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WWDLWWDDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Lazio
LLWDWWDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.70
Against
4.60
8.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.50goals per match
Lazio conceded0.90
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.30goals per match
Milan conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.60
8.60
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.00
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
24.10
Match total
22.60

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.90
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches556
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.7%50.5%+1.8 pp
Draw28.2%30.6%+2.3 pp
Away23.0%18.9%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS47.3%

Historical average

1.450.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-013.7%
2-010.8%
0-010.8%
2-110.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.653.95
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=556.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches187
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.6%33.9%–47.8% CI
Draw FT42.2%35.4%–49.4% CI
Away FT17.1%12.4%–23.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away34.8%