Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-04 · 19:45
14.7120.3%
X3.7825.3%
21.7654.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
LDDLDDDWDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Napoli
WLWWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
2.00
1.40
Conceded
0.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
20%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.20
Against
3.60
10.70
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded
0.30
3.10
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.70goals per match
Napoli conceded0.30
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.00goals per match
Udinese conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.60
10.70
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.80
Match total
4.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.20
Match total
24.70

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
5.70
On target
4.90
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches175
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.3%23.4%+3.1 pp
Draw25.3%26.9%+1.5 pp
Away54.4%49.7%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.530.9%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.071.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.0%
0-211.4%
0-110.9%
2-18.0%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.175.73
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=175.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.5%15.8%–38.3% CI
Draw FT34.5%23.4%–47.7% CI
Away FT40.0%28.1%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.2%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.8%
Away60.0%