Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-04 · 19:45
12.9932.0%
X3.1730.2%
22.5337.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
LWWWDDLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Bologna
WLLWWWLDWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.40
Against
4.10
10.60
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.90goals per match
Bologna conceded1.60
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.40goals per match
Empoli conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.10
10.60
Match total
7.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.30
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
23.10
Match total
23.60

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.20
On target
4.10
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches342
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%29.2%-2.8 pp
Draw30.2%33.6%+3.4 pp
Away37.8%37.1%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.517.8%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.041.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
0-113.2%
0-012.0%
2-18.5%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.764.98
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=342.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.4%16.8%–31.6% CI
Draw FT52.4%43.7%–61.0% CI
Away FT24.2%17.5%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.9%
2+ goals33.9%
3+ goals9.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.2%
Away49.2%