Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 20:00
13.6526.2%
X3.1830.1%
22.1943.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
WWDDDLWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Roma
WDDWLDLLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.60
Against
3.60
10.10
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.30
Matchup

Roma attack

1.30goals per match
Monza conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.60
10.10
Match total
7.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.10
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
26.10
Match total
25.50

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.2%26.5%+0.3 pp
Draw30.1%25.8%-4.3 pp
Away43.7%47.7%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS42.4%

Historical average

0.931.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.9%
1-010.6%
0-09.9%
1-19.3%
0-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.775.03
Average total8.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.6%
Over 9.539.1%
Over 10.526.5%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.0%9.8%–30.8% CI
Draw FT42.0%29.4%–55.8% CI
Away FT40.0%27.6%–53.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.0%
Away56.0%