Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 20:00
13.6526.2%
X3.1830.1%
22.1943.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monza
WWDDDLWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Roma
WDDWLDLLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.60
Against
3.60
10.10
Total
7.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monza attack
1.60goals per matchRoma conceded1.30Matchup
Roma attack
1.30goals per matchMonza conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.60
10.10
Match total
7.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.10
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
26.10
Match total
25.50
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.2%26.5%+0.3 pp
Draw30.1%25.8%-4.3 pp
Away43.7%47.7%+4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS42.4%
Historical average
0.93–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-117.9%
1-010.6%
0-09.9%
1-19.3%
0-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
3.77–5.03
Average total8.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.6%
Over 9.539.1%
Over 10.526.5%
Over 11.520.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.0%9.8%–30.8% CI
Draw FT42.0%29.4%–55.8% CI
Away FT40.0%27.6%–53.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals14.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home34.0%
Away56.0%