Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 20:00
11.3173.2%
X5.3318.0%
210.928.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milan
WWWDLWWDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Cremonese
DLLDLDLDWL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
4.50
8.00
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.90
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milan attack
1.80goals per matchCremonese conceded2.10Matchup
Cremonese attack
1.10goals per matchMilan conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.50
8.00
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.90
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.40
Match total
23.00
Shots
14.60N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.10
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.2%83.3%+10.1 pp
Draw18.0%10.4%-7.6 pp
Away8.8%6.3%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS33.3%
Historical average
2.23–0.48
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-025.0%
1-014.6%
3-012.5%
3-18.3%
4-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
7.17–3.08
Average total10.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT88.9%67.2%–96.9% CI
Draw FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal94.4%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals38.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home88.9%
Away16.7%