Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 20:00
11.3173.2%
X5.3318.0%
210.928.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WWWDLWWDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Cremonese
DLLDLDLDWL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
4.50
8.00
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.90
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.80goals per match
Cremonese conceded2.10
Matchup

Cremonese attack

1.10goals per match
Milan conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.50
8.00
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.90
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.40
Match total
23.00

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.10
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.2%83.3%+10.1 pp
Draw18.0%10.4%-7.6 pp
Away8.8%6.3%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

2.230.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-025.0%
1-014.6%
3-012.5%
3-18.3%
4-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.173.08
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT88.9%67.2%–96.9% CI
Draw FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.4%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals38.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.9%
Away16.7%