Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 20:00
11.6857.1%
X4.0024.0%
25.0918.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
LWDWDLWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sassuolo
LLLDWDWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
9.20
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.30goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.90
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.50goals per match
Lazio conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
9.20
Match total
11.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.00
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.90
Match total
24.40

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.10
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches288
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%62.2%+5.0 pp
Draw24.0%18.8%-5.2 pp
Away18.9%19.1%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.870.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.5%
1-010.8%
2-010.1%
0-19.0%
3-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.133.89
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=288.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.2%43.6%–64.5% CI
Draw FT24.1%16.2%–34.3% CI
Away FT21.7%14.2%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.4%
Away41.0%