Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 20:00
11.6857.1%
X4.0024.0%
25.0918.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lazio
LWDWDLWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sassuolo
LLLDWDWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
9.20
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lazio attack
1.30goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.90Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.50goals per matchLazio conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
9.20
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.00
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.90
Match total
24.40
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.10
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches288
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%62.2%+5.0 pp
Draw24.0%18.8%-5.2 pp
Away18.9%19.1%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
1.87–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.5%
1-010.8%
2-010.1%
0-19.0%
3-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.13–3.89
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=288.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.2%43.6%–64.5% CI
Draw FT24.1%16.2%–34.3% CI
Away FT21.7%14.2%–31.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals16.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.4%
Away41.0%