Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 17:00
14.3821.9%
X3.4327.9%
21.9150.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
LLLLDLDWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Torino
LDDWDLLWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.60
Against
5.00
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

0.70goals per match
Torino conceded1.20
Matchup

Torino attack

1.20goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.00
10.00
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.20
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
27.10
Match total
26.00

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.20
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches122
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.9%31.1%+9.3 pp
Draw27.9%23.0%-5.0 pp
Away50.2%45.9%-4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS43.4%

Historical average

1.011.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.1%
1-112.3%
1-012.3%
1-29.8%
0-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.235.65
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=122.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.3%17.6%–44.5% CI
Draw FT41.5%27.8%–56.6% CI
Away FT29.3%17.6%–44.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals31.7%
3+ goals9.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.8%
Away48.8%