Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 17:00
14.6220.7%
X3.7925.2%
21.7754.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
DLDLLLWDDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Fiorentina
WWLLDLWWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.00
Against
4.70
8.70
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.30goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.00
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.40goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.70
8.70
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.00
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.20
Match total
27.00

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
2.90
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches169
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.7%23.7%+3.0 pp
Draw25.2%24.3%-1.0 pp
Away54.1%52.1%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.021.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-110.7%
1-110.1%
0-210.1%
2-18.3%
1-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.305.88
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=169.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.558.0%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.536.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%17.6%–40.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%22.2%–46.6% CI
Away FT38.9%27.0%–52.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.6%
Away57.4%