Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 17:00
11.5960.3%
X3.8125.2%
26.5814.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WWWDLWWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Lecce
DWDLWWLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
10%
30%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.00
Against
4.60
10.30
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
1.90goals per matchLecce conceded1.00Matchup
Lecce attack
0.70goals per matchJuventus conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.60
10.30
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.10
Match total
26.50
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.50
On target
2.40
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.3%66.3%+6.0 pp
Draw25.2%23.6%-1.6 pp
Away14.6%10.1%-4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS42.7%
Historical average
1.85–0.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.7%
1-015.7%
2-112.4%
2-210.1%
3-09.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.72–3.57
Average total9.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.522.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.6%40.7%–74.5% CI
Draw FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Away FT3.4%0.6%–17.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals17.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.4%
Away24.1%