Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 17:00
11.5960.3%
X3.8125.2%
26.5814.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWWDLWWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Lecce
DWDLWWLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
10%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.00
Against
4.60
10.30
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
1.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.90goals per match
Lecce conceded1.00
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.70goals per match
Juventus conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.60
10.30
Match total
8.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.10
Match total
26.50

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.50
On target
2.40
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.3%66.3%+6.0 pp
Draw25.2%23.6%-1.6 pp
Away14.6%10.1%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS42.7%

Historical average

1.850.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.7%
1-015.7%
2-112.4%
2-210.1%
3-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.723.57
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.6%40.7%–74.5% CI
Draw FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Away FT3.4%0.6%–17.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.4%
Away24.1%