Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 17:00
11.3969.0%
X4.9919.2%
28.1111.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LLLWWLDWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Spezia
LLWWLDDLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.00
Against
5.30
9.70
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.90goals per match
Spezia conceded1.30
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.00goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.30
9.70
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.30
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
21.80
Match total
25.90

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.00
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.0%72.3%+3.4 pp
Draw19.2%17.0%-2.2 pp
Away11.8%10.7%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

2.300.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
2-112.5%
1-110.7%
3-18.0%
3-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.463.31
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%40.7%–76.6% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT8.0%2.2%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals52.0%
3+ goals24.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away32.0%