Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 19:45
13.5027.2%
X3.2029.8%
22.2243.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
WWLDWLWDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Juventus
WWWLWWLWLL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.30N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.60
Against
5.40
6.90
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.00
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
1.40goals per matchJuventus conceded0.90Matchup
Juventus attack
1.10goals per matchBologna conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.40
6.90
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
25.70
Match total
22.30
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.20
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches210
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%29.5%+2.3 pp
Draw29.8%28.1%-1.7 pp
Away43.0%42.4%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.519.5%
BTTS41.4%
Historical average
1.00–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.8%
1-011.9%
0-011.9%
1-111.0%
0-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.14–5.00
Average total9.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=210.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.2%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.532.4%
Over 11.523.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.3%15.1%–34.2% CI
Draw FT45.2%34.3%–56.6% CI
Away FT31.5%22.0%–42.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.10
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.8%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals9.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.0%
Away43.8%