Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 17:00
11.3272.6%
X5.4417.6%
29.759.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WDWLLDWWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Sampdoria
LLWLLDLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.70
Against
7.50
9.40
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.20
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.20goals per match
Sampdoria conceded2.00
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

0.70goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
2.70
Corners against
7.50
9.40
Match total
10.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.90
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
29.10
Match total
26.60

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.50
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches142
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.6%74.6%+2.1 pp
Draw17.6%14.8%-2.8 pp
Away9.8%10.6%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

2.310.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.4%
2-112.7%
2-011.3%
3-07.7%
1-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.273.35
Average total10.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=142.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.559.9%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.536.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.0%49.5%–77.9% CI
Draw FT27.5%16.1%–42.8% CI
Away FT7.5%2.6%–19.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals47.5%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away32.5%