Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 14:00
11.7654.3%
X3.9124.5%
24.5121.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
WDLLWLWWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Empoli
LDDWLDLLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.70
Against
7.10
9.60
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.10goals per match
Empoli conceded1.30
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.70goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
7.10
9.60
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
23.60
Match total
24.60

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.60
On target
2.40
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches326
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%59.2%+4.9 pp
Draw24.5%23.0%-1.5 pp
Away21.2%17.8%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.880.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.3%
1-011.3%
1-111.3%
2-010.4%
3-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.783.86
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=326.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.1%41.0%–61.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%21.5%–40.1% CI
Away FT18.9%12.1%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.6%
2+ goals56.7%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.1%
Away50.0%