Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 14:00
11.2278.6%
X6.5114.7%
214.366.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWWWWWLWLD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Salernitana
WLLLWLDDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.90
Against
4.90
10.60
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.10goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.90
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.10goals per match
Napoli conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.90
10.60
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.60
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
21.00
Match total
25.10

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
5.40
On target
2.80
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.6%85.7%+7.1 pp
Draw14.7%3.6%-11.2 pp
Away6.7%10.7%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS37.5%

Historical average

2.500.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-021.4%
3-112.5%
3-010.7%
2-110.7%
4-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.573.11
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away41.7%