Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 19:45
12.9532.4%
X3.3029.0%
22.4838.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
WWDLWDWLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Atalanta
LDWDLWLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.80
Against
4.30
8.10
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Torino attack

1.00goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.50
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.40goals per match
Torino conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.30
8.10
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.40
Match total
23.80

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.80
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches331
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.4%29.0%-3.4 pp
Draw29.0%22.7%-6.3 pp
Away38.6%48.3%+9.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.001.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.1%
1-112.7%
1-010.0%
1-29.7%
0-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.805.15
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=331.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches115
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.2%24.3%–41.2% CI
Draw FT31.3%23.5%–40.3% CI
Away FT36.5%28.3%–45.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals10.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.2%
Away49.6%