Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 17:00
12.7834.4%
X3.0331.6%
22.8134.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
LDWWWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Milan
DWDLLWLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.50
Against
6.50
9.10
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.40
Matchup

Milan attack

1.20goals per match
Roma conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.50
9.10
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.20
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.70
Match total
26.60

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.20
On target
5.60
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches468
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%33.3%-1.1 pp
Draw31.6%35.0%+3.5 pp
Away34.0%31.6%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.051.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-013.5%
1-012.4%
0-110.5%
2-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.644.57
Average total9.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=468.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches188
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.9%24.7%–37.8% CI
Draw FT45.2%38.3%–52.4% CI
Away FT23.9%18.4%–30.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.5%
2+ goals28.7%
3+ goals8.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.3%
Away39.9%