Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-28 · 19:45
12.8333.9%
X3.2329.7%
22.6336.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spezia
DDDLLLDWDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Monza
LLDWWWLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.10
10.30
Total
7.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spezia attack
0.60goals per matchMonza conceded1.40Matchup
Monza attack
1.20goals per matchSpezia conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.10
10.30
Match total
7.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
23.30
Match total
26.60
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.20
On target
3.20
5%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches674
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%31.0%-2.9 pp
Draw29.7%28.6%-1.0 pp
Away36.4%40.4%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS51.9%
Historical average
1.13–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
0-113.1%
2-19.1%
1-28.0%
0-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.94–4.93
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=674.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches214
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.6%22.0%–33.9% CI
Draw FT37.4%31.2%–44.0% CI
Away FT35.0%29.0%–41.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.5%
Away54.7%