Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-28 · 19:45
12.8333.9%
X3.2329.7%
22.6336.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DDDLLLDWDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Monza
LLDWWWLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.10
10.30
Total
7.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.60goals per match
Monza conceded1.40
Matchup

Monza attack

1.20goals per match
Spezia conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.10
10.30
Match total
7.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
23.30
Match total
26.60

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.20
On target
3.20
5%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches674
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%31.0%-2.9 pp
Draw29.7%28.6%-1.0 pp
Away36.4%40.4%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.131.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
0-113.1%
2-19.1%
1-28.0%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.93
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=674.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches214
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.6%22.0%–33.9% CI
Draw FT37.4%31.2%–44.0% CI
Away FT35.0%29.0%–41.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.5%
Away54.7%