Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-28 · 17:30
12.4938.5%
X3.0831.1%
23.1630.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
LWWDLDLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Udinese
DLLWLLDWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.80
Against
6.60
10.70
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.00goals per match
Udinese conceded1.50
Matchup

Udinese attack

0.60goals per match
Lecce conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.60
10.70
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.70
Match total
26.50

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.30
On target
3.00
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches463
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%42.8%+4.2 pp
Draw31.1%29.4%-1.8 pp
Away30.3%27.9%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.517.5%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.221.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.0%
1-113.0%
0-011.2%
2-110.8%
0-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.974.19
Average total9.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=463.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.5%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.531.5%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches175
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.4%28.7%–42.8% CI
Draw FT41.1%34.1%–48.5% CI
Away FT23.4%17.8%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals33.1%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away40.6%