Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-24 · 19:45
12.3341.0%
X3.2729.2%
23.2129.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Atalanta
WLLLWWLDWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Roma
WWDDWLDLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.90
Against
3.70
9.60
Total
7.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.30
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Atalanta attack
1.80goals per matchRoma conceded1.00Matchup
Roma attack
1.30goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.70
9.60
Match total
7.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.00
Match total
26.90
Shots
17.80N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.00
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches891
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%42.1%+1.1 pp
Draw29.2%30.3%+1.1 pp
Away29.8%27.6%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS48.8%
Historical average
1.29–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
1-012.5%
0-010.0%
2-19.7%
0-19.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.13–4.41
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=890.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.526.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches304
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.9%25.1%–35.3% CI
Draw FT43.1%37.6%–48.7% CI
Away FT27.0%22.3%–32.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.0%
Away45.1%