Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 19:45
12.8533.5%
X3.1730.1%
22.6336.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WWWWDLWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Napoli
WWLWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
2.00
0.90
Conceded
0.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.80
Against
3.60
10.40
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded
0.30
3.20
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
2.30goals per matchNapoli conceded0.30Matchup
Napoli attack
2.00goals per matchJuventus conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.60
10.40
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.90
Match total
24.70
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.80
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches657
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.5%31.2%-2.3 pp
Draw30.1%33.0%+2.9 pp
Away36.3%35.8%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS50.4%
Historical average
1.11–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
0-112.0%
0-011.6%
1-09.3%
2-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.76–4.86
Average total9.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=657.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.526.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches242
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.9%21.7%–32.8% CI
Draw FT45.0%38.9%–51.3% CI
Away FT28.1%22.8%–34.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals32.2%
3+ goals12.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.0%
Away48.8%