Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 19:45
12.8533.5%
X3.1730.1%
22.6336.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWWWDLWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Napoli
WWLWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
2.00
0.90
Conceded
0.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.80
Against
3.60
10.40
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded
0.30
3.20
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.30goals per match
Napoli conceded0.30
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.00goals per match
Juventus conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.60
10.40
Match total
8.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.90
Match total
24.70

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.80
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches657
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.5%31.2%-2.3 pp
Draw30.1%33.0%+2.9 pp
Away36.3%35.8%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.111.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
0-112.0%
0-011.6%
1-09.3%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.764.86
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=657.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches242
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.9%21.7%–32.8% CI
Draw FT45.0%38.9%–51.3% CI
Away FT28.1%22.8%–34.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals32.2%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.0%
Away48.8%