Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 11:30
16.3415.1%
X4.3222.1%
21.5262.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
WLWWWDDLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Inter
WWLWDWDLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
7.20N=10
5.90
Against
2.60
10.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.00goals per match
Inter conceded1.50
Matchup

Inter attack

1.50goals per match
Empoli conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
2.60
10.80
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.90
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.30
Match total
25.20

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
18.40N=10
4.40
On target
5.80
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.1%9.2%-5.9 pp
Draw22.1%20.7%-1.4 pp
Away62.8%70.1%+7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

0.752.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.2%
0-213.8%
0-111.5%
1-19.2%
1-36.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.986.02
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.558.6%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.4%2.1%–23.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Away FT59.3%40.7%–75.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals59.3%
3+ goals25.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.0%
Away77.8%