Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 19:45
12.5437.6%
X3.2429.5%
22.9132.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
LLLLLDLDWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Spezia
LLLWWLDDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.00
Against
4.70
8.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

0.60goals per match
Spezia conceded1.40
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.90goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.70
8.90
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.80
Match total
5.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
29.10
Match total
26.90

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.00
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches602
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.6%31.7%-5.9 pp
Draw29.5%35.9%+6.4 pp
Away32.9%32.4%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.201.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
0-111.0%
0-010.0%
1-08.5%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.51
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=601.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches198
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT22.2%17.0%–28.5% CI
Draw FT48.5%41.6%–55.4% CI
Away FT29.3%23.4%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.9%
Away50.5%