Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 17:00
11.8551.7%
X3.3328.7%
24.8819.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
DLWDWDLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Torino
WLDDWDLLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.00
Against
5.40
9.50
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.30goals per match
Torino conceded1.30
Matchup

Torino attack

1.30goals per match
Lazio conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.40
9.50
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.90
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
25.20
Match total
26.10

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches106
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%57.5%+5.9 pp
Draw28.7%24.5%-4.2 pp
Away19.6%17.9%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.0%
BTTS35.8%

Historical average

1.430.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.9%
2-012.3%
0-011.3%
1-19.4%
2-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.333.51
Average total8.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=106.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.527.4%
Over 11.516.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.6%29.3%–59.0% CI
Draw FT38.5%24.9%–54.1% CI
Away FT17.9%9.0%–32.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals28.2%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.4%
Away30.8%