Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-21 · 19:45
12.7834.5%
X3.0031.9%
22.8533.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
LLLWWDWLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Bologna
LWLLWWWLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.70
Against
4.30
9.00
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.10goals per match
Bologna conceded1.70
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.50goals per match
Verona conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.30
9.00
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.00
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.70
Match total
23.00

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.50
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches250
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%32.0%-2.5 pp
Draw31.9%38.0%+6.1 pp
Away33.6%30.0%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.2%
BTTS44.8%

Historical average

0.981.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.8%
0-014.8%
1-011.6%
0-19.2%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.504.36
Average total8.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=250.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.0%
Over 9.543.2%
Over 10.531.2%
Over 11.520.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches106
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.4%19.0%–35.5% CI
Draw FT48.1%38.8%–57.5% CI
Away FT25.5%18.1%–34.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.1%
2+ goals30.2%
3+ goals7.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.5%
Away40.6%