Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-17 · 19:45
12.3939.9%
X3.4727.5%
22.9332.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
LWDWLLDWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Atalanta
WLDWDLWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.80
Against
4.50
9.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.40goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.40
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.50goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.50
9.10
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.20
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
29.20
Match total
23.30

Shots

18.10N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.20
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches368
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%41.3%+1.4 pp
Draw27.5%28.0%+0.5 pp
Away32.6%30.7%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.541.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-210.9%
2-19.2%
2-08.4%
2-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.65
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=367.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches98
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%26.9%–45.6% CI
Draw FT37.8%28.8%–47.6% CI
Away FT26.5%18.8%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals49.0%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.2%
Away52.0%