Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 14:00
11.7455.0%
X3.5626.9%
25.2818.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
LWWDLWDWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Salernitana
LWLLLWLDDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.20
Against
5.10
8.40
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.00
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Torino attack

0.90goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.00
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.00goals per match
Torino conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.10
8.40
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.50
Match total
24.90

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.50
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches272
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.0%49.6%-5.4 pp
Draw26.9%29.0%+2.2 pp
Away18.1%21.3%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.550.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
2-012.9%
2-110.3%
1-09.9%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.873.70
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=272.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches93
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.7%29.4%–48.9% CI
Draw FT35.5%26.5%–45.6% CI
Away FT25.8%18.0%–35.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.0%
Away43.0%