Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 11:30
11.9648.8%
X3.2629.3%
24.3621.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lecce
DLWWDLDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Sampdoria
WLLWLLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.80
Against
6.90
9.80
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lecce attack
1.00goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.90Matchup
Sampdoria attack
0.70goals per matchLecce conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.90
9.80
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.30
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
27.00
Match total
26.90
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
2.40
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches359
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%47.1%-1.7 pp
Draw29.3%32.3%+3.0 pp
Away21.9%20.6%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS44.8%
Historical average
1.37–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.2%
1-113.6%
0-013.1%
2-18.9%
2-08.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–3.91
Average total9.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=359.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.0%
Over 9.539.0%
Over 10.529.8%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches142
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%31.8%–47.7% CI
Draw FT42.3%34.4%–50.5% CI
Away FT18.3%12.8%–25.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.9%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals14.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.4%
Away36.6%