Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 11:30
11.9648.8%
X3.2629.3%
24.3621.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DLWWDLDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Sampdoria
WLLWLLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.80
Against
6.90
9.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.00goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.90
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

0.70goals per match
Lecce conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.90
9.80
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.30
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
27.00
Match total
26.90

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
2.40
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches359
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%47.1%-1.7 pp
Draw29.3%32.3%+3.0 pp
Away21.9%20.6%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS44.8%

Historical average

1.370.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.2%
1-113.6%
0-013.1%
2-18.9%
2-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.143.91
Average total9.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=359.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.0%
Over 9.539.0%
Over 10.529.8%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches142
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%31.8%–47.7% CI
Draw FT42.3%34.4%–50.5% CI
Away FT18.3%12.8%–25.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.9%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.4%
Away36.6%