Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 19:45
11.4466.4%
X4.5221.2%
27.6912.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Inter
WWWWLWWWLL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Monza
LLLDWWWLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.10
0.50
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.20
Against
4.80
9.20
Total
7.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Inter attack
1.70goals per matchMonza conceded1.50Matchup
Monza attack
1.10goals per matchInter conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.80
9.20
Match total
7.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
22.70
Match total
28.00
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches152
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.4%71.7%+5.3 pp
Draw21.2%16.4%-4.7 pp
Away12.4%11.8%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS38.2%
Historical average
2.04–0.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-018.4%
1-013.2%
2-113.2%
3-08.6%
1-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.29–3.36
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=152.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.2%50.8%–77.3% CI
Draw FT21.7%12.3%–35.6% CI
Away FT13.0%6.1%–25.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.1%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals23.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.3%
Away30.4%