Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 17:00
11.5362.5%
X4.0923.4%
26.7614.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWWWWWWLWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Verona
LLLDLDLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.30
Against
5.50
11.20
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.50
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.40goals per match
Verona conceded1.40
Matchup

Verona attack

0.50goals per match
Napoli conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.50
11.20
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.50
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
19.90
Match total
24.20

Shots

17.30N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.40
On target
2.70
14%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches205
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.5%65.4%+2.9 pp
Draw23.4%22.9%-0.4 pp
Away14.1%11.7%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS42.4%

Historical average

1.810.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-019.5%
1-113.2%
2-011.2%
3-08.8%
3-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.243.80
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=205.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.9%42.8%–64.7% CI
Draw FT26.3%17.7%–37.2% CI
Away FT19.7%12.3%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.9%
2+ goals34.2%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.1%
Away32.9%