Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 14:00
13.1230.7%
X3.1530.4%
22.4638.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WWWLDWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Milan
LDWDLLWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.40
Against
6.90
7.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.50goals per match
Milan conceded1.50
Matchup

Milan attack

1.20goals per match
Bologna conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.90
7.40
Match total
10.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.30
Match total
26.40

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.30
On target
5.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches264
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.7%28.4%-2.3 pp
Draw30.4%32.2%+1.8 pp
Away38.9%39.4%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

1.031.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.0%
1-113.6%
0-011.7%
1-010.2%
0-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.554.91
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=264.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%17.1%–35.0% CI
Draw FT48.9%38.7%–59.1% CI
Away FT26.1%18.1%–36.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.8%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals10.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.2%
Away42.0%