Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-14 · 17:30
12.5138.1%
X3.2729.3%
22.9432.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cremonese
LDDLLLLWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Empoli
LLDDWLDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.60
Against
7.40
8.70
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cremonese attack

0.60goals per match
Empoli conceded1.60
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.70goals per match
Cremonese conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.40
8.70
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.60
Match total
25.00

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.50
On target
2.70
5%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches431
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%36.7%-1.5 pp
Draw29.3%30.6%+1.3 pp
Away32.6%32.7%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.291.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-010.9%
0-110.2%
0-07.4%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.244.55
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=431.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.5%21.4%–36.7% CI
Draw FT41.5%33.4%–50.1% CI
Away FT30.0%22.8%–38.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.2%
Away50.0%