Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-14 · 17:30
12.5138.1%
X3.2729.3%
22.9432.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cremonese
LDDLLLLWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Empoli
LLDDWLDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.60
Against
7.40
8.70
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cremonese attack
0.60goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.60Matchup
Empoli attack
0.70goals per matchCremonese conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.40
8.70
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.60
Match total
25.00
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.50
On target
2.70
5%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches431
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%36.7%-1.5 pp
Draw29.3%30.6%+1.3 pp
Away32.6%32.7%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS53.1%
Historical average
1.29–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
1-010.9%
0-110.2%
0-07.4%
1-27.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.24–4.55
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=431.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.5%21.4%–36.7% CI
Draw FT41.5%33.4%–50.1% CI
Away FT30.0%22.8%–38.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.2%
Away50.0%