Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 11:30
12.0945.9%
X3.4327.9%
23.6626.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
WDLDDLDDDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Monza
WLLLDWWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
100%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.90
Against
4.60
10.90
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
100%10/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.70goals per match
Monza conceded1.30
Matchup

Monza attack

1.20goals per match
Udinese conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.60
10.90
Match total
7.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.10
Match total
4.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
25.20
Match total
28.70

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.10
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches397
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%46.6%+0.7 pp
Draw27.9%29.0%+1.0 pp
Away26.2%24.4%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.491.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.9%
1-113.6%
2-110.1%
0-08.1%
2-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.77
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=397.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches134
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.3%32.4%–48.8% CI
Draw FT36.6%28.9%–45.0% CI
Away FT23.1%16.8%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.7%
Away41.8%