Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 20:00
11.3769.9%
X4.9019.5%
29.0810.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
LWWWWDLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Empoli
DLLDDWLDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.40
Against
7.10
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Empoli conceded1.70
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.80goals per match
Milan conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
7.10
9.00
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.60
Match total
5.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
25.20
Match total
25.50

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
5.00
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.9%68.6%-1.3 pp
Draw19.5%20.0%+0.5 pp
Away10.5%11.4%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

2.040.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.3%
1-014.3%
3-011.4%
2-18.6%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.193.14
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away25.0%