Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 18:00
15.7816.6%
X3.6726.2%
21.6857.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lecce
DDLWWDLDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Napoli
WWWLWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
2.20
1.30
Conceded
0.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.20
Against
3.60
9.80
Total
8.30
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded
0.30
2.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lecce attack
1.00goals per matchNapoli conceded0.30Matchup
Napoli attack
2.20goals per matchLecce conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.60
9.80
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.40
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
27.50
Match total
25.00
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
2.20
On target
5.50
9%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.6%16.1%-0.5 pp
Draw26.2%29.0%+2.9 pp
Away57.2%54.8%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS38.7%
Historical average
0.71–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-219.4%
0-119.4%
0-012.9%
1-19.7%
2-26.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.65–5.45
Average total9.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.532.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home25.0%
Away58.3%