Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 18:00
15.7816.6%
X3.6726.2%
21.6857.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DDLWWDLDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Napoli
WWWLWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.20
1.30
Conceded
0.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.20
Against
3.60
9.80
Total
8.30
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded
0.30
2.30
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.00goals per match
Napoli conceded0.30
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.20goals per match
Lecce conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.60
9.80
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.40
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
27.50
Match total
25.00

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
2.20
On target
5.50
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.6%16.1%-0.5 pp
Draw26.2%29.0%+2.9 pp
Away57.2%54.8%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS38.7%

Historical average

0.711.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-219.4%
0-119.4%
0-012.9%
1-19.7%
2-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.655.45
Average total9.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away58.3%