Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 16:00
17.4212.9%
X4.6720.5%
21.4466.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
WWDLDLLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Inter
LWWLWDWDLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.70
Against
3.10
8.30
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.20goals per match
Inter conceded1.70
Matchup

Inter attack

1.50goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.10
8.30
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
24.30
Match total
25.20

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
17.30N=10
2.90
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.9%6.4%-6.5 pp
Draw20.5%16.0%-4.6 pp
Away66.6%77.7%+11.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS45.7%

Historical average

0.602.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.1%
1-218.1%
0-216.0%
1-18.5%
1-47.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.186.18
Average total9.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.523.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.2%7.6%–34.5% CI
Draw FT17.2%7.6%–34.5% CI
Away FT65.5%47.3%–80.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.2%
2+ goals51.7%
3+ goals31.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.9%
Away79.3%