Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 16:00
17.4212.9%
X4.6720.5%
21.4466.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Salernitana
WWDLDLLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Inter
LWWLWDWDLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.70
Against
3.10
8.30
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Salernitana attack
1.20goals per matchInter conceded1.70Matchup
Inter attack
1.50goals per matchSalernitana conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.10
8.30
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
24.30
Match total
25.20
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
17.30N=10
2.90
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.9%6.4%-6.5 pp
Draw20.5%16.0%-4.6 pp
Away66.6%77.7%+11.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS45.7%
Historical average
0.60–2.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-118.1%
1-218.1%
0-216.0%
1-18.5%
1-47.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.18–6.18
Average total9.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.523.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.2%7.6%–34.5% CI
Draw FT17.2%7.6%–34.5% CI
Away FT65.5%47.3%–80.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.2%
2+ goals51.7%
3+ goals31.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.9%
Away79.3%