Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-03 · 17:30
12.4738.7%
X3.1130.7%
23.1230.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
LWLWWWDDLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lecce
LLDWDLWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.20
Against
6.10
11.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.00goals per match
Lecce conceded1.10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.80goals per match
Empoli conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.10
11.10
Match total
9.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.00
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.30
Match total
27.20

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.10
On target
2.60
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches537
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%39.9%+1.2 pp
Draw30.7%31.8%+1.1 pp
Away30.6%28.3%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.171.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
1-013.6%
0-012.1%
2-19.9%
0-19.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.34
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=537.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches208
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.3%24.4%–36.8% CI
Draw FT47.1%40.4%–53.9% CI
Away FT22.6%17.4%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away43.3%