Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 19:45
11.7654.3%
X3.6925.9%
24.8319.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWWWWWWWLW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Milan
WLDWDLLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Against
6.80
10.60
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.60
Matchup

Milan attack

1.00goals per match
Napoli conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.80
10.60
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
5.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
20.00
Match total
26.00

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
6.70
On target
5.00
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches443
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%59.6%+5.3 pp
Draw25.9%24.4%-1.5 pp
Away19.8%16.0%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

1.690.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.3%
2-112.6%
2-011.1%
1-110.8%
0-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.913.99
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=443.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.3%38.5%–54.3% CI
Draw FT40.3%32.7%–48.3% CI
Away FT13.4%8.9%–19.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away35.6%