Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 17:00
11.4466.6%
X4.3921.8%
28.2611.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WLLDWWWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Sampdoria
DWLLWLLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.80
Against
6.10
9.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.30goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.70
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

0.80goals per match
Roma conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.10
9.40
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.00
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
26.30
Match total
28.30

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.00
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.6%72.3%+5.8 pp
Draw21.8%19.1%-2.7 pp
Away11.6%8.5%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS38.3%

Historical average

1.790.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-023.4%
2-014.9%
2-112.8%
3-010.6%
2-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.552.94
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.4%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.2%44.9%–81.2% CI
Draw FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Away FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.3%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.6%
Away34.8%