Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 14:00
12.3640.5%
X3.3128.9%
23.1230.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DLDDDLLLDW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Salernitana
LLWLLLWLDD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.60
Against
4.30
10.80
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.40
2.30
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.80goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.40
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.90goals per match
Spezia conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.30
10.80
Match total
7.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.20
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.60
Match total
24.30

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
3.90
On target
2.90
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches866
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%40.4%-0.1 pp
Draw28.9%29.2%+0.3 pp
Away30.6%30.4%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.301.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-011.3%
0-19.7%
2-19.2%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.214.55
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=865.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches295
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.2%25.2%–35.6% CI
Draw FT39.7%34.2%–45.3% CI
Away FT30.2%25.2%–35.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.5%
Away49.5%