Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 14:00
13.8025.2%
X3.3128.9%
22.0846.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
WLWWDDDLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lazio
WWWLLWDWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.10
Against
5.20
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.60
2.60
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.60goals per match
Lazio conceded0.60
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.40goals per match
Monza conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.20
10.00
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.90
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
26.80
Match total
24.10

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.40
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.2%28.0%+2.9 pp
Draw28.9%28.0%-0.8 pp
Away46.0%43.9%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS40.2%

Historical average

0.961.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.1%
0-012.2%
1-112.2%
1-012.2%
0-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.235.15
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.4%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%8.6%–34.4% CI
Draw FT45.5%29.8%–62.0% CI
Away FT36.4%22.2%–53.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.03

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals6.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.4%
Away51.5%