Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 19:45
11.4267.2%
X4.3422.0%
28.7910.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWWWWDLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Verona
LLLLDLDLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.70
Against
5.90
10.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.50goals per match
Verona conceded1.50
Matchup

Verona attack

0.50goals per match
Juventus conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.90
10.20
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.10
Match total
4.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
22.90
Match total
24.10

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
6.20
On target
2.50
16%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.2%82.1%+15.0 pp
Draw22.0%14.3%-7.7 pp
Away10.9%3.6%-7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS35.7%

Historical average

1.860.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-028.6%
3-014.3%
2-114.3%
2-014.3%
1-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.292.96
Average total9.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.517.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home91.7%
Away25.0%