Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 17:00
11.7754.1%
X3.7925.2%
24.6220.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WWWWWLWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Fiorentina
LDWWLLDLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
0.40
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.80
Against
3.50
8.40
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Inter attack

1.90goals per match
Fiorentina conceded0.90
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.20goals per match
Inter conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.50
8.40
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
23.80
Match total
27.50

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.40
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches348
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.1%58.0%+4.0 pp
Draw25.2%24.4%-0.8 pp
Away20.7%17.5%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.780.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-012.6%
2-110.9%
2-09.2%
3-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.953.92
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=348.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.5%40.2%–58.9% CI
Draw FT32.7%24.6%–42.1% CI
Away FT17.8%11.7%–26.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.2%
2+ goals48.6%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.2%
Away45.8%