Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 17:00
11.7754.1%
X3.7925.2%
24.6220.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Inter
WWWWWLWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Fiorentina
LDWWLLDLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.20
0.40
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.80
Against
3.50
8.40
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Inter attack
1.90goals per matchFiorentina conceded0.90Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.20goals per matchInter conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.50
8.40
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
23.80
Match total
27.50
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.40
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches348
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.1%58.0%+4.0 pp
Draw25.2%24.4%-0.8 pp
Away20.7%17.5%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS54.0%
Historical average
1.78–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
1-012.6%
2-110.9%
2-09.2%
3-16.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.95–3.92
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=348.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.5%40.2%–58.9% CI
Draw FT32.7%24.6%–42.1% CI
Away FT17.8%11.7%–26.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.2%
2+ goals48.6%
3+ goals20.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.2%
Away45.8%