Serie A · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 14:00
15.1918.5%
X3.9924.0%
21.6757.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cremonese
LLDDLLLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Atalanta
DWLDWDLWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.20
Against
5.00
8.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cremonese attack

0.60goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.50
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.40goals per match
Cremonese conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.00
8.80
Match total
9.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.40
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.70
Match total
23.30

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.20
On target
4.00
5%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches122
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.5%19.7%+1.2 pp
Draw24.0%16.4%-7.7 pp
Away57.5%63.9%+6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.529.5%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

0.911.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.9%
0-111.5%
1-39.8%
0-29.0%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.035.77
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=122.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.9%12.1%–39.0% CI
Draw FT34.3%20.8%–50.8% CI
Away FT42.9%28.0%–59.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals34.3%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.1%
Away60.0%