Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 17:00
12.8233.9%
X3.0431.5%
22.7634.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWDLWDWDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Roma
WWWWDDWLDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.30
Against
3.70
9.30
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.60goals per match
Lazio conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.70
9.30
Match total
7.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.30
Match total
5.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.00
Match total
27.60

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.20
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches367
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%30.8%-3.1 pp
Draw31.5%35.1%+3.7 pp
Away34.6%34.1%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.513.9%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

0.981.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
0-014.4%
0-112.5%
1-012.0%
1-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.634.35
Average total8.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=367.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.4%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.522.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.8%21.5%–35.1% CI
Draw FT43.2%35.8%–50.9% CI
Away FT29.0%22.6%–36.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals28.4%
3+ goals8.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away42.0%