Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 17:00
12.8233.9%
X3.0431.5%
22.7634.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lazio
WWDLWDWDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Roma
WWWWDDWLDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.30
Against
3.70
9.30
Total
7.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lazio attack
1.60goals per matchRoma conceded1.10Matchup
Roma attack
1.60goals per matchLazio conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.70
9.30
Match total
7.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.30
Match total
5.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.00
Match total
27.60
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.20
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches367
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%30.8%-3.1 pp
Draw31.5%35.1%+3.7 pp
Away34.6%34.1%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.513.9%
BTTS44.1%
Historical average
0.98–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
0-014.4%
0-112.5%
1-012.0%
1-28.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.63–4.35
Average total8.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=367.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.4%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.522.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.8%21.5%–35.1% CI
Draw FT43.2%35.8%–50.9% CI
Away FT29.0%22.6%–36.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals28.4%
3+ goals8.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.4%
Away42.0%