Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 14:00
14.8919.6%
X3.5427.0%
21.7953.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
LDLWWDLWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Napoli
WWWWLWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.00
0.80
Conceded
0.40
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.80
Against
4.00
7.80
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded
0.40
1.80
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Torino attack

1.00goals per match
Napoli conceded0.40
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.00goals per match
Torino conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.00
7.80
Match total
8.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
23.50
Match total
25.10

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
4.20
On target
5.30
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.6%42.5%+22.9 pp
Draw27.0%32.5%+5.5 pp
Away53.4%25.0%-28.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.515.0%
BTTS42.5%

Historical average

1.050.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-025.0%
1-117.5%
0-212.5%
0-012.5%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.526.03
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.2%
Away36.8%