Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 14:00
14.8919.6%
X3.5427.0%
21.7953.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Torino
LDLWWDLWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Napoli
WWWWLWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
2.00
0.80
Conceded
0.40
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.80
Against
4.00
7.80
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded
0.40
1.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Torino attack
1.00goals per matchNapoli conceded0.40Matchup
Napoli attack
2.00goals per matchTorino conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.00
7.80
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
23.50
Match total
25.10
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
4.20
On target
5.30
8%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.6%42.5%+22.9 pp
Draw27.0%32.5%+5.5 pp
Away53.4%25.0%-28.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.515.0%
BTTS42.5%
Historical average
1.05–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-025.0%
1-117.5%
0-212.5%
0-012.5%
2-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.52–6.03
Average total9.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.532.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals10.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.2%
Away36.8%