Serie A · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 14:00
11.6258.9%
X3.8424.8%
25.8616.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WLLWDWLLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lecce
WLLDWDLWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.60
Against
6.40
9.60
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.40goals per match
Lecce conceded1.10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.00goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.60
Corners against
6.40
9.60
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.40
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
27.70
Match total
25.70

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.70
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches161
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.9%57.8%-1.1 pp
Draw24.8%26.7%+1.9 pp
Away16.3%15.5%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.760.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-013.0%
2-112.4%
2-08.1%
3-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.813.88
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=161.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%30.9%–58.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%21.4%–47.9% CI
Away FT22.2%12.5%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.2%
Away40.0%